Weekly Market Outlook 08/16/2026
Summertime Slowness
Hello traders,
We had a pretty muted week last week despite having CPI, PPI being released.
This is exactly how low volatility summer action pans out when there aren’t new tariffs being launched every other day (anyone miss 2025 just yet?)
Volatility has been subdued over the past week and we are levels not seen since Christmas.
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GOLDILOCKS DATA AND FAMILY FIGHTS
This past week we got CPI and PPI which were broadly in-line with expectations. The numbers were almost too good.
This has made drastic revisions to the rate hike for the next meeting with the odds dropping from 80% to 32.5%
“There’s an old saying in Tennessee — I know it’s in Texas, probably in Tennessee — that says, fool me once, shame on — shame on you. Fool me — you can’t get fooled again.” -- George W. Bush
Cost of hedging has gone down considerably and maybe now is the time to buy
