Hello traders,
Happy Father's Day to all the awesome dads out there! Hope you get to step away from the screens, fire up the grill, and maybe enjoy a drink or two. It's your day to relax and have some fun! Cheers!
Last week was a decent one for us at the substack where we traded at night and were able to capture clean moves to net quite a few points.
Our QQQ call options went from 0.53 to 3.23 at close.
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I overtraded on FOMC day and kept scalping short side post 2pm on a clear uptrend. Managed risk well but just staying in the 467 long would have been a prudent strategy.
So that was our week, lots of action this past week and now we have a short week with Juneteenth holiday where the markets would be closed.
This week we have retail sales and PMI data releases.
I have personally stopped paying attention to minor data releases and only thing I care about these days is the Fed, NFP, CPI and PCE. The rationale behind this move is not a quantitative one but a qualitative one.
Listening to Eckart Tolle videos has given me a better insight about myself and I tend to look for a bigger picture of smaller data releases and it has been counter-productive in medium-term trading.
The S&P and Nasdaq breadth has been abysmal and the rally has been largely due to semiconductors and tech.
I’m still of the belief that we are still in Act I of the AI hype rally and it is far from over.
But does this mean we get a small correction on the indices? That is definitely possible but until we see major supports on NQ and ES being broken (Weekly Bear#3 and below) I would still be in the camp of the bulls.
Weekly Levels: